Mike Lowry wrote: Tue Apr 21, 2026 3:17 pm
Playoff races are hot as hell, especially in the West, how will the bottom of the bracket fill out?
Who is going to be the 6 seed in the East, and the 5 and 6 in the West?
What will be the key to getting them into those spots?
By my count, the Cavs will see a 3-5 record with a tossup against the Jazz and the Bulls will see a 3-3 record with two tossup games (and a win in hand) before the two teams lock horns on the final day of the regular season. The Cavaliers play the Jazz (tossup), Knicks twice (wins), Pistons (loss), Bucks twice (loss), Bullets (loss), Spurs (loss), Hawks win), and Bulls (tossup) while the Bulls play the Pacers twice (wins), Bucks (loss), Celtics twice (losses), 76ers (win), Suns (tossup), Mavericks (tossup) and Cavaliers. I think the East #6 seed comes down to the final game between those two and with the Bulls at home, I think they edge the Cavaliers out.
In the West, the Kings look like they have the easiest road with seven home dates, all against teams in the tank (except one vs the Suns) and just three road games left. I think they're an easy pick to get the five seed - though I don't think they rise higher - the Sonics have a 4 game lead in the loss column, and I see three, maybe four losses left on their schedule - the Kings aren't going to win out, so they're #5.
Someone's going to back into the #6 seed. The Suns don't have many gimmes left - they have only a game vs. the Pacers and at the Mavericks against teams not fighting for a playoff spot, so they will have to beat a lot of winning teams if they want to earn their way in. The Jazz have a brutal closing stretch with three home games (Mavs, Rockets, Lakers) and seven away games - though at least they get two dates with the Clippers! The Detlef injury (and 7 road games against 4 home games) probably does the Lakers in, though they have three head-to-head matchups against the Suns and Jazz left so if they find a way to sweep those games they might find a way in after all. I guess what I'm trying to say here is the #6 spot is almost certainly going to be determined by the four remaining head-to-head matchups among the Lakers, Suns, and Jazz (4/5 Suns at Lakers, 4/17 Jazz at Lakers, 4/19 Jazz at Suns, 4/20 Lakers at Jazz), particularly the last two days of the season. Whichever team gets the #6 seed will probably be coming off at at least one, and probably two wins at the other teams' expense.