S67 Town Hall #2 Overreaction First Sim

[Black Superman]

Rules: 1 point if you give thoughtful answers which I will award after the timer ends for responses. The timer ends for responses at the moment the corresponding week's Sim is run.

Due: Wed at 4pm at Sim 2 deadline


Question: Which team is the biggest surprise, good or bad after the first sim? Provide reasons and or stats to why you feel this way.

[Black Superman]

Lakers will bounce back, wolves should bounce back, grizzlies should fall back. All in honorable consideration for most shocking first sim. The biggest shock for me is not an individual team but rather a collection of teams all residing in the omega conference. 2 teams are better than .500 and those two are undefeated. I didn't suspect the pistons to get off to a slow start albeit Lauri is banged up. Don't even get me started on what the mavericks are doing.

But the biggest single surprise are the hawks at 2-6 with Amos and league scoring leader Phil Smith. I am shocked to see them off to this rough of a start. It was a road heavy sim for them but @wizards feels like a head scratching loss....then you see that it was a blowout and you just can't put words together to describe this. No one expected them to challenge for the best record but they should be better than 2-6 over any sim period during the season with those two stars.

[LazyTitanSmash]

Teams with surprise records:

Thought they’d have a worse record:
Grizzlies
Bucks

Thought they’d have a better record:
Lakers
Timberwolves
Celtics
Mavericks
Pistons
Rockets


I’m freaking out. I thought I had a decent offensive team, but point guards and defense are essential in this game.

Also, if the Grizzlies end up with a better record than me, I’m pissed. Nearly half of that team used to be Mavericks at one point or another: EJ. Liddell, Markus Conover, John Lowry, Ibrahima Diallo, and Doyle Olsen. He’s in Tax Hell and puts out a better team than me!

[greepleairport]

Raptors and grizzlies leading the Sabo division is crazy. Lakers Tim’s and bulls had tough opening sims. I can’t believe I’m a .500 team after 10 games. I can’t believe I had 10 games this first sim. After an abysmal TC Kevin cross still looks good.

I have no idea who they played but I’m honestly surprised the spurs won 4 without pee wee.

No one has mentioned the rockets yet. Can anyone honestly believe the defending champs opened with a losing record???! Sim 1 is always crazy; that shit is Fryeing insane.

[garbageman]

Obviously, the Grizzlies are the team that, at 6-2, make you say WTF? But I'm going to go a different direction and look at player stats.

The biggest surprise I see there is Supreme Cook with almost 10 dimes a game and Bones Hyland with over 21 ppg on a true shooting of over .600. Granted, Ed's playing his yellow/blue rookie contract guys as many minutes as he can, but they're all still. yellow current, and these two guys are putting up solid numbers. I know someone has to score points, even on a team with no bona-fide star, but the stats are still impressive. They've played some of the easier teams (and a couple tough ones), so that could influence the stats, so we'll see if they stay consistent, but it's definitely possible since they'll get plenty of time on the court.

[K-100]

The Celtics lack of defense surprised me. They have a lot of capable rebounders and above-average defenders both in the paint and perimeter yet they are a bottom-3 scoring defense. It will get better soon, but yikes burn that gameplan AB and start from scratch.

[MexicanMamba]

It only lasted 4 games before injury took him out for a month, but I imagine that the Bucks had to be pleased with the surprising performance of Y/Y Robby Owens when thrust into the starting PG role due to a lack of options. He's been around the league for some seasons now, hopping around teams and rarely getting much of an opportunity to play due to his forever yellow status. While obviously needing to become more efficient, which he could as he plays more, Owens's statline of 17 points, 5 REBs, 3 assists is solid when considering the other guys in the starting 5 to compete with for touches.

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[Mike Lowry]

It's likely that I know absolutely NOTHING about this game, but how did we get this far without a mention of what went down in the desert?
I think Phoenix has a good roster, and certainly a walk of cupcakes in the first sim, but 7 and 0 stands up, and they're blowing shit out!
They are not the deepest roster, so I would have expected some fatigue on the back end of back to backs.
Maybe slip up with the Wizards or the Wolves, but they fryed em both over.
If they don't make any moves I would expect them to slide back to a 4 or 5 seed in the Omega Conference, but that is a hell of a start.

[jlmarines]

Same as above. The Grizzlies and the Celtics. The Grizzlies probably have the worst PG in the league. Somehow they won 6 games. I expect on SIM 2, the Grizzlies began to lose again. I expected better results from the Celtics. Being on the bottom in the standings was a shocker. However, I expect the Celtics to improve on SIM 2.

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[Eazy P]

My surprise is the Mavs at 1-6. They have a nice Squad. As I type this I forgot that Dominitrix is sitting out this season. I think Dom is ready to play and can lead this current Mavs team to the post season. I would play him to see what I have with the current setup and adjust accordingly. Hopefully Dom doesn't sit too long. He's too good of a player to not play.

[greepleairport]

My surprise is the Mavs at 1-6. The have a nice Squad. As I type this I forgot that Dominitrix is sitting out this season. I think Dom is ready to play and can lead this current Mavs team to the post season. I would play him to see what I have with the current setup and adjust accordingly. Hopefully Dom doesn't sit too long. He's too good of a player to not play.

[pennpanther1]

The biggest shock is the Suns going 7-0. I am a little surprised they did so well to start the season. They did have a heavy home schedule to start, so that may play a part. But, given the fact that He Hor, who is Orange/Orange is his sixth man, there is no way that this can hold up I think. If his PG gets hurt, his season may be over.

[Xist2Inspire]

Right now, the thing that stands out to me is just how ridiculously good the Nuggets' offense has been over the first sim. They are:

#1 in ppg
#5 in assists
#1 in 3pt%
#2 in pace
#2 in Off. Efficiency
#3 in Effective FG%

That's ridiculous. But here's something that I find even more interesting. They're just barely in the Top 10 for FG% (#9). Of course, it's mainly due to just how much they shoot (#2 in FGA, #1 in FGM), but you'd think an offense that scores so much and so well would be hovering around the Top 5 in FG% at minimum. So what's the deal? Are the Nuggets' incredible offensive numbers mainly driven by successful 3s, and they turn into inefficient chuckers the minute they step inside the 3pt line? Well, yes and no. While it's true that 3s are the standout feature of their offense, they're not the primary reason behind their statistical success.

See, there's one other stat that the Nuggets are incredibly high in - rebounds. The Nuggets are #2 in RPG - and when breaking that down, the side that significantly outperforms the league average is...you guessed it...offensive rebounds. They're #5 in orb% as opposed to #15 in drb%, meaning that a significant chunk of their rebounding numbers are driven by second chance points. So as of now, the Nuggets have been able to post such incredible offensive numbers and efficiency not just because of their 3pt shooting, but because they're more often than not able to turn a weakness (less efficient shooting from inside the arc) into points regardless due to creating second chance opportunities through crashing the boards. All this without any real standout offensive rebounder on the the roster. Alphonse Morelock has the highest rating with 75, only 4 other players have ratings higher than 50 (Patrick - 69, Kuric - 62, Ford - 56, Dieng - 55). For or the first sim of the season, the Nuggets have found a way to make sure that, no matter what, they leave their side of their court with points on the board every possession.

[AngryBanana]

I am going to say the Pacers. They are a plesant surprise in that they have the highest points in the league and are 7-1 with Herb, Ervin Armitage, and a bunch of greens and yellows. Pacers will be another very solid team this year, and hopefully they can make the gauntlet in a very tough Alpha Conference.

[IamQuailman]

Look im late to the game, but definitely the Grizzlies had the most surprisign and unexpected outcome. They are just doing wonders with a limited roster and the inability to sign big names in UFA. Kudos to Keep It100! And I'm surprised people expected my team to be better after I shipped out my starting PF & C in the 11th hour of the off-season! lol

[Black Superman]

CLOSED

@Black Superman +1
@LazyTitanSmash +1
@greepleairport +1
@garbageman +1
@K-100 +1
@MexicanMamba +1
@Mike Lowry +1
@jlmarines +1
@Eazy P +1
@pennpanther1 +1
@Xist2Inspire +1
@@AngryBanana +1
@IamQuailman LATE...I'll allow it. +1

[IamQuailman]

<3