#SLOE: People's Basketball Sim League

Well it's been a little while since I've done these rankings, but with the league talent as wide-spread as ever, I thought some rankings to sort through the B.S. were in order.

Some methodology recaps/explanations:

1. Factors include: record, point differential (pythagorean expected wins), Home vs. Road games, and your strength of schedule to-date. *Note - unlike previous versions, they do not include strength of your future schedule, but I've included it in the picture for your information.
2. How you weight each of these factors is difficult to determine. I tweaked until the rankings looked close enough to be defensible to my eye.
3. Record and expected record are weighed the heaviest, then opp win%, then home/road splits
4. The 'PowerScore' is what's used for the ultimate ranking. It is on a scale of Win%, so comparing the PowerScale to the actual Win% will give you an idea if a team is punching above/below their weight and if so, how much.
5. I used a data tool to do the compilation, I think I got it set up so it's a quick download/execute moving forward. That means hopefully I can update after every sim. It also meant a ton of work going into it, so for points purposes I'd like some consideration Also, if no one has ever used Alteryx, it's awesome, check it out

So who does the model like? Who does it hate? What team dominated an easy schedule? What barely snuck out wins to compile a good record, and which team(s) were a little unlucky? Here are my thoughts, but feel free to draw your own conclusions from the data!

• Sure, the Raptors played the easiest schedule in the league, but they absolutely dominated it, winning 7 of their 8 games by more than 12 (and the 8th was by 12 even, just missing counting as a 'big win') - any model that doesn't have the undefeated team #1 is broken.
• The Bulls and Nets might be due for regression, as the model doesn't like their home-heavy winning sim against lesser competition.
• The 3-5 Magic and 2-6 Spurs might be better than their records suggest, and have probably gotten a little unlucky thus far. Look for these teams to rebound moving forward!

Yeah I can't argue where my team stands. Always love these Ryan.

Ooof we pumped up Doug's spirits after the sim only for the power rankings to take a dump on the Bucks again.

NOLa. wrote: Tue Feb 18, 2020 11:11 am Yeah I can't argue where my team stands. Always love these Ryan.

You're the second best 4-win team in the league!

Four Win Teams Unite!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

So, for the 2 teams I said might be underrated, one had ANOTHER tough sim (Spurs), and one was average (Magic). The Bulls were one of the teams that looked potentially overrated. Whelp, a 7-1 sim is pretty good.

So I got nothing this week, except that now the Kings are the BEST 4-win team in the league.

After Sim 4 - No time, but draw your own conclusions!

This is great btw, would love after every sim, too

greepleairport wrote: Wed Feb 26, 2020 11:31 pm This is great btw, would love after every sim, too

Doin my best, sheeeeeesh

TheSyndicate wrote: Wed Feb 26, 2020 11:34 pm

greepleairport wrote: Wed Feb 26, 2020 11:31 pm This is great btw, would love after every sim, too

Doin my best, sheeeeeesh

Haha, no pressure intended, only appreciation

After Sim 6:
NEW - Added a column for change from last sim, so you can see how you're trending.

Biggest Risers: Kings - not surprising the Kings are rising as fast a 13-yo Tani's, well, you know. After the trade for former MVP BDJ, they better be, amirite?

Biggest Fallers: Knicks - would it be a SLOE season if the Knicks weren't insanely over the cap while in danger of missing the playoffs? Not this time. In their defense, they had a really tough sims, and 1-pt losses to the Clippers and Cavs back to back definitely don't help.

Trend to watch: The Raptors opened up even more space at the top between them and the Wizards, while the Wizards fell back a bit this sim. With the Nuggets and Lakers hot on their tail, can Washington go wire-to-wire? Tune in next sim to find out!

Short sim, full power rankings:

Added a column for ranking changes sim over sim. Seemed....timely?

Our first change at the top of the rankings!...but it definitely came at a cost.

FWIW, if you win 29 in a row, you get to be #1, I think that's fair. I've had to deal with broken leg syndrome for my best player several times, and it's never fun, but it's not a death sentence for your squad. You can do it, AB!

Bulls and Bucks really stumbled that sim, the Mavs made some great GAINZ, though.

The Mavs and Rockets, however, have played relatively easy schedules and have really tough ones down the stretch. Look for them to drop a few games off their pace, and if you're closing in on them in the standings, stay the course!

10 points for the continuous updates and MATHZ