Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

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kucoach7
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Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by kucoach7 »

Not sure what that title has to do with this article other than having the name Julio in it but it is an awesome title. I originally sat down to try to cap out my media points by pumping out a generic "Biggest Offseason Questions" article (I'm not going to do it so somebody else can have at it). First team: Boston Celtics. My mind, "What is up with Julio De La Rosa?" Start digging. "Well, guess I'll write an article on JDLR instead." Side note, although I'm not sure if I can call it a side note in an article that has thus far been a compilation of side notes, I like that his initials include DLR, like David Lee Roth. It makes me like the JLDR initials a lot more.

At his peak, JDLR will likely be the league's premier scorer and perimeter defender. He has solid athleticism for a 6'5" guy. The closest projection off the top of my head (for obvious reasons) is a McCollum in scoring and athleticism but that can defend WAY better. And rebound. And handle and pass well. Okay, maybe that comparison was a little forced.

So why do I think this future superstar is so interesting? Julio De La Rosa may be the rawest talent to ever enter this league, if we define raw as being far from one's potential. Just eyeballing his potential bars on TeamViewer, his potential attribute scores look about like this.

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That looks pretty good. Really good, considering he is a shooting guard. The sum of those attributes is a respectable 1069. His current attribute sum after two training camps is 706. For all of you keeping score at home, that is a little concerning. Even if he averaged 50 points gained per training camp, which he won't (he put up 45 last year), he would reach 1000 in 6 years, at the age of 27. A score of 1000 at that age isn't all that impressive, considering the expectations for this guy.

I think the bigger issue is that he is 60 points away from his potential in all of the shooting attributes. That means to achieve the impossible feat we're discussing, he'd have to increase in every scoring attribute by 10 points a year (He did 5,4,4 last TC). That really isn't going to happen. If he averages 5 points per TC in these scoring attributes through age 30, he will max out at 89, which is great, except that he is purple potential so he's supposed to be better than that and you'd only get it for one year. Here is what a more realistic progress looks like.

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He hits the RFA market at about 840, that's not terrible. To put it in perspective, that is about 20 points lower than Lavar Ball. He hits UFA at about 975. That is about CJ McCollum status. The issue that I see is, again, the scoring attributes. He doesn't really even look like a potential elite scorer until age 27 and that is being optimistic. The good news is that he should be a good defender at that point.

The final problem with JLDR is actually his purple potential. As Scott reminded me, he can't be trained. So my takeaway from the exercise is this: without being able to spend on paid player training, JLDR might never reach his potential and will only be elite for a couple of years, max. In other words, it would be nice if Conroy could spend 15 to 20 points a year to turbo charge this guy's offensive attribute growth.
Last edited by kucoach7 on Sat Apr 07, 2018 6:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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ballsohard
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by ballsohard »

I thought purples can’t be trained ? Or is that just future
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kucoach7
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by kucoach7 »

ballsohard wrote: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:26 pm I thought purples can’t be trained ? Or is that just future
You are correct. I've updated the post and given credit where credit is due. Thanks for catching my shoddy workmanship (again).
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NOLa.
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by NOLa. »

So we may have a player so raw with elite potentials we haven’t seen from a SG in years, that he may never actually hit his potentials. In the end at least he should be able to hit elite status as a player in his late 20s, but what can you do but wait and hope he actually hits those 50+ rating gains in TC.

Rosa’s scoring and defense reminds me of Steven Jackson so much, he’s going to be a solid player.


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ballsohard
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by ballsohard »

5 Points!
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Conroy
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by Conroy »

I was very close to leaving him uninsured, with the thought if he gets hit and drops down to blue potential I could at least train him. Then I thought that was dumb so I didn't do it.
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ballsohard
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by ballsohard »

Conroy wrote:I was very close to leaving him uninsured, with the thought if he gets hit and drops down to blue potential I could at least train him. Then I thought that was dumb so I didn't do it.
That would have brilliant!
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kucoach7
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Re: Me and Julio Down By The Schoolyard

Post by kucoach7 »

ballsohard wrote: Thu Apr 19, 2018 1:48 pm
Conroy wrote:I was very close to leaving him uninsured, with the thought if he gets hit and drops down to blue potential I could at least train him. Then I thought that was dumb so I didn't do it.
That would have brilliant!
That would have been awesome and it would have made this article AotY worthy. He had a great camp though.
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