garbageman wrote:Sham Smith, Bulls.com: You've been vocal about the way that value has changed on the trade market, and I agree that certain types of players have become much harder to move than they should be. What are the factors that have changed the market, and do you see it correcting or overcorrecting itself any time soon? How does your answer inform your long term plans for the Lakers?
I think the Pistons are obviously one part of it, due to folks just not wanting to engage or spend when they know their moves don't move the needle much. However, even before that, things were already shifting. One part of it is probably the influx of new folks, combined with the inactivity of other GMs. mostly in regards to the sticker shock of the contracts that are required to keep high-level players. I think people are seeing $90-$110mil salaries for one season and panicking about how to ship that out or build around it. It's obviously possible since a $100mil contract now is no different than a $50mil contract seasons ago since it's all based on % of the ever rising salary cap. Still, I understand that the numbers freak people out. Another thing that ties into the fresh faced folks, but still sticks with some vets too, is an overrating of cap space to save for big free agency spending. Yes, sometimes big names move, but if you haven't already created a winning culture as a GM, the game software will almost never reward you those big ticket changes. Trades are the fastest switch to building a winning culture, point blank.
And no, I honestly don't see it ever fully course correcting. Once more teams feel like they've got a chance again, I'm sure activity will trickle back in, but we've built habits now and these contract numbers are going nowhere but up. We better adjust our expectations or be miserable or die ... in sim terms.
Oh and I forgot to include the response to part about my long-term plan. Honestly, I don't even know what that is currently. Hard to when we still don't REALLY know how long this Pistons thing lasts. Ware gone, and Hoyt is next, but the other 3 aren't which include 2 of the best 3 players in the game currently. I'd love to say Trayce and Kinsella are a foundation for another championship run but Kinsella and Trayce may either need re-signed or begin showing some age by the time it's feasible and I would have to reset my tax bill now to prep and we'll see how that goes.
So, right now, I'm just trying to use energy on each move in front of me. I'll try worrying about long-term ... eventually.
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